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FranchiseVerdict

Methodology

How we score, where the data comes from, what we don't know.

FranchiseVerdict is the independent research database for franchise investors. Every rating you see, every metric on every brand page, traces back to a source. This page tells you which one.

FV

FranchiseVerdict Research Team

Methodology last updated July 2026 · Based on 3,188 FDD filings and 126,612 SBA 7(a) FOIA records

FDD FILINGS3,188SBA 7(a) RECORDS126,612EXTRACTItems 1-23, line itemsMATCHFDD ↔ SBA, dedupSCORERisk model → A-FPUBLISH/brand/<slug>
Public records (FDD filings + SBA FOIA) feed extraction, get matched across the two namespaces, are scored by the risk model, then published. The detail of each stage is documented in the sections below.

Origin of every claim

Data sources

  • Franchise Disclosure Documents (FDDs)

    Brand-specific filings franchisors must give prospective franchisees under FTC rule 16 CFR 436. Items 1, 3, 5, 6, 7, 11, 12, 17, 19, and 20 are the financial and contract sections we extract. Source PDFs come from state regulator portals (CA, MN, NY, ND, RI, VA, WA, WI, plus NASAA/state-administrator records).

    Coverage · 3,188 FDD-extracted brands · FDD years 2017–2026

  • SBA loan disclosures

    Public records released under FOIA, covering Small Business Administration loans guaranteed under the 7(a) and 504 programs. We join these to FDD brand names so you can see real charge-off rates per brand. 3,492 brands have SBA loan history.

    Coverage · 126,612 7(a) loans · 16,915 504 loans · 3,492 brands with lending records

    Charge-off rates are computed against resolved loans (charged off + paid in full), not total originations. Loans still being repaid are excluded from the denominator because their final outcome is unknown. This produces a more accurate picture of actual loss experience but means rates may differ from raw origination-based calculations.

    Sub-program note: 7(a) totals include all sub-programs (Standard 7(a), SBA Express, CAPLines, Export Express, and Community Advantage). SBA Express loans carry a lower guarantee percentage and historically show higher charge-off rates than Standard 7(a). 504 totals include both regular purchase and refinance loans. Lender-level charge-off rates reflect each lender's full portfolio mix across these sub-programs.

    Charge-off rate = charged-off loans / (charged-off + paid in full), cumulative since 2000. Loans still active or in disbursement are excluded from the denominator.

  • Brand logos

    Logos are sourced from Google's favicon service using each brand's website domain. Where no favicon exists, a monogram tile renders the brand initials.

A · B · C · D · F

The Verdict rating

Every brand receives a Verdict grade (A through F) derived from its underlying risk score. Higher Verdict scores mean lower risk.

Verdict rating scale

A
Strongest tierScore 58–100

Top-tier franchise. Strong financials, growing unit base, low litigation, favorable SBA track record. Lowest risk profile in our dataset.

B
Above averageScore 46–57

Above average. Solid fundamentals with minor flags. Most established, well-run systems land here.

C
AverageScore 38–45

Middle of the pack. Mixed signals across financial, legal, or growth metrics. Requires deeper due diligence.

D
Below averageScore 28–37

Below average. Notable concerns in multiple areas: high turnover, litigation history, weak unit economics, or declining system.

F
Weakest tierScore 0–27

Significant risk. Multiple red flags across financials, legal, and operational metrics. Proceed with extreme caution.

How the score is built

Under the hood, the model computes a deterministic internal risk score from 5–100 where lower is better. We invert it for display into the public Verdict Score (0–100, higher is better) shown in the scale above — the two are the same measurement on opposite axes. The steps below describe that internal risk score: it is a deterministic, multi-layer model, so the same data always produces the same score. It blends six independent risk dimensions, then calibrates against real-world loan outcomes and applies hard floors.

Layer 1 — six risk dimensions

Each dimension is scored 0-100 from the FDD data, then combined weakest-link style (a weighted average blended roughly 55/45 with the single worst dimension) so one serious red flag carries weight rather than being averaged away:

  • Financial health (~22%): going-concern and audit status, franchisor net income and net worth (Item 21)
  • Unit economics (~20%): revenue-to-investment ratio and cash-on-cash return (Items 7 + 19)
  • Unit growth (~16%): net unit growth and franchisee turnover (Item 20)
  • Scale (~15%): system size and years franchising — a larger, longer-running system is more proven
  • Legal (~15%): litigation count and bankruptcy disclosure (Items 3 + 4)
  • Transparency (~12%): whether Item 19 earnings are disclosed and financials are audited

Layer 2 — outcome calibration

  • SBA 7(a) charge-off rate — the only outcome-validated signal in the model. Low rates on ≥10 loans lower the score; high rates raise it. Requires ≥10 loans for standard tiers, ≥5 for extreme rates.
  • FDD staleness — older filings carry more uncertainty and nudge the score up. A 2017 FDD is less certain than a 2025 one.

Layer 3 — hard floors & caps

  • SBA hard floor: very high charge-off rates floor the grade regardless of clean FDD language.
  • Going-concern cap: an auditor's going-concern doubt caps the letter grade.
  • Mega-system representativeness guard: proven 2,000+ unit systems are exempt from mild small-sample floors, so a 24-loan SBA sample doesn't drag down a McDonald's or Papa John's.

The internal risk score is clamped to 5–100 (lower = better) and mapped to a letter grade: A (<54), B (54–62), C (63–69), D (70–77), F (≥78). These are the same grades shown in the scale above, which lists the equivalent public Verdict Score ranges (higher = better) — e.g. an internal risk score below 54 is a Verdict Score of 58–100, both grade A. Approximate weights are shown; exact contribution varies per brand because some signals are absent (e.g. no SBA data means the calibration step is skipped and the dimensions carry the score).

Manual overrides

0 brands have a manually reviewed score override. These are cases where the automated model produces a misleading grade due to data anomalies (e.g., name collisions in SBA matching, unusual FDD structures, or known extraction errors). Each override is documented internally with a justification. We aim to reduce overrides as data quality improves.

SBA-only brands

1,671 brands have SBA 7(a) loan data but no FDD on file. Their Verdict score is based solely on lending outcomes: charge-off rate is the primary signal, with adjustments for loan volume confidence and recent performance trends. These brands are marked “SBA data only” throughout the site.

Gaps, by name

What we don't know

A research database is only as honest as its named gaps. Here are ours.

Net income disclosed
3%
Most franchisors report Item 19 gross sales but not net income. Cash-on-cash is shown only for the 128 brands that disclose.
FDD brands with SBA history
57%
1,821 of 3,188 FDD-extracted brands have matched SBA loan records. An additional 1,671 SBA-only brands have loan data but no FDD.
States-list coverage
60.8%
Where we know which states a brand is registered in.
CEO name disclosed
64.6%
From Item 2 business-experience disclosures.
Logo coverage
94%
Logos via Google's favicon service using each brand's website domain; the rest render a monogram tile with brand initials.
Excellent data quality
44%
2,169 of 4,973 total brands. Standard 19%, Limited 2%, SBA-only 31%.

Pricing model

What's free, what's $49

All financial data is free to browse. There is no subscription. The $49 unlock applies only to the franchisee phone numbers (and AI- generated validation questions) for a single brand. One-time purchase.

  • Free: investment ranges, royalty rates, Item 19 revenues, unit growth, SBA charge-off rates, ratings, contract terms, litigation summaries, comparison and matrix views.
  • $49 / brand: ~100 franchisee phone numbers from that brand's FDD Item 20, plus AI-generated questions to ask owners during validation calls.

Refresh cadence

Updates

FDDs are filed annually with state regulators. We re-extract a brand when its filing year changes. SBA 7(a) data is refreshed quarterly when SBA publishes new FOIA datasets. The data ticker on the home page reflects the current totals; each brand page stamps the FDD year it was extracted from.

Who built this

About the research

FranchiseVerdict was founded by Usman Khan with a background in data engineering, SBA lending analysis, and public records extraction. The rating model, data pipeline, and methodology documentation are built and maintained by the founding team. Questions about data accuracy or methodology can be directed to hello@franchiseverdict.com.

Not investment advice

Disclaimer

FranchiseVerdict is informational only. Ratings reflect our model's reading of the public record. They are not investment recommendations. Past unit performance, charge-off rates, and litigation history do not guarantee future outcomes. Read the full FDD before signing any franchise agreement, and consult a franchise attorney.

Frequently asked questions

How is the Verdict rating calculated?+

Each brand receives a deterministic risk score built from six weighted dimensions — financial health, unit economics, unit growth, scale, legal, and transparency — combined weakest-link style so one serious red flag isn't averaged away. The score is then calibrated against real SBA loan charge-off rates and FDD staleness, and hard floors apply for going-concern doubts and very high loan defaults. The final score maps to a letter grade: A (excellent) through F (avoid).

Where does the data come from?+

Two primary public sources. Franchise Disclosure Documents (FDDs) are annual filings franchisors submit to state regulators under FTC rule 16 CFR 436. SBA 7(a) and 504 loan records are released under FOIA by the Small Business Administration. We extract, match, and cross-reference both datasets to produce every metric on the site.

How often is the data updated?+

FDD data is refreshed annually as franchisors file new disclosures with state regulators. SBA loan data is updated quarterly when SBA publishes new FOIA datasets. Each brand page shows the FDD year it was sourced from, and the home page ticker reflects current database totals.

What does the risk score mean?+

Internally the model computes a risk score (lower is better) that quantifies franchise investment risk. It blends six risk dimensions — financial health (~22%), unit economics (~20%), unit growth (~16%), scale (~15%), legal (~15%), and transparency (~12%) — then calibrates against SBA loan charge-off rates and FDD age. For display we invert it into the Verdict Score (0–100, higher is better) and the A–F letter grade shown on brand cards throughout the site.